Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009118 0.010255 0.011503 0.012979 0.014682 0.016593 0.018906
2025-05-04 0.007304 0.008822 0.010636 0.012979 0.015952 0.019633 0.024586
2025-05-11 0.006348 0.008033 0.010162 0.013083 0.017039 0.022292 0.029926
2025-05-18 0.005587 0.007332 0.009633 0.012944 0.017672 0.024322 0.034633
2025-05-25 0.005091 0.006893 0.009360 0.013062 0.018605 0.026816 0.040331
2025-06-01 0.004623 0.006427 0.008978 0.012945 0.019135 0.028737 0.045413
2025-06-08 0.004145 0.005890 0.008427 0.012494 0.019067 0.029681 0.049003
2025-06-15 0.003864 0.005613 0.008223 0.012536 0.019763 0.031915 0.055147
2025-06-22 0.003721 0.005525 0.008291 0.013007 0.021202 0.035584 0.064534
2025-06-29 0.003439 0.005194 0.007945 0.012752 0.021355 0.036984 0.069812
2025-07-06 0.003183 0.004884 0.007602 0.012462 0.021402 0.038177 0.074863
2025-07-13 0.003006 0.004686 0.007424 0.012435 0.021917 0.040316 0.082299
2025-07-20 0.002909 0.004621 0.007478 0.012857 0.023390 0.044690 0.095927
2025-07-27 0.002746 0.004435 0.007311 0.012863 0.024067 0.047574 0.106897
2025-08-03 0.002615 0.004292 0.007205 0.012965 0.024945 0.051026 0.120123
2025-08-10 0.002463 0.004097 0.006989 0.012827 0.025297 0.053353 0.131017
2025-08-17 0.002359 0.003982 0.006906 0.012944 0.026210 0.057132 0.146921
2025-08-24 0.002234 0.003818 0.006719 0.012828 0.026588 0.059686 0.160026
2025-08-31 0.002079 0.003589 0.006390 0.012382 0.026152 0.060136 0.166889
2025-09-07 0.001994 0.003486 0.006295 0.012425 0.026867 0.063679 0.184646
2025-09-14 0.001963 0.003480 0.006391 0.012890 0.028665 0.070455 0.215509
2025-09-21 0.001857 0.003324 0.006174 0.012637 0.028648 0.072203 0.229280
2025-09-28 0.001755 0.003170 0.005952 0.012351 0.028509 0.073586 0.242213